UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
Las Vegas, USA
22 Apr 2023
Middleweight
VS
37%
Tavares
63%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:35
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
Silva holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Tavares has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tavares
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tavares
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
61.6
40.1
Performance Avg
49.0
29
Quality of Victory
58
49
Momentum Score
91
Tavares
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
17
4
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance21
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Tavares
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tavares
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/34 fights
Chin rating based on
11/36 fights
Tavares
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Tavares
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
14
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tavares
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
TavaresSilva
Strike Zones
Tavares
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedSilva
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (73% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (74% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tavares
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tavares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Tavares · Last 5
Upcoming
Marc-Andre BarriaultUFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert BryczekRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06