UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2012
Bantamweight
VS
74%
Caceres
26%
Figueroa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Alex
Alex Caceres
"Bruce Leeroy"
21 – 15
5'10"73" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
EF
Edwin Figueroa
"El Feroz"
9 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Caceres

Caceres is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Caceres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Caceres's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Caceres
Figueroa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
69"
37+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Caceres
Figueroa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
13.9
42.2
Performance Avg
37.3
34
Quality of Victory
40
76
Momentum Score
30
Caceres
Figueroa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
1
Body
4
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance8
0Clinch2
0Ground3
Caceres
Figueroa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Caceres
Figueroa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/36 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Caceres
Figueroa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Caceres
Figueroa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Caceres
Figueroa
Striking1.7 / 5.7Volume6.1 / 4.7Grappling3.5 / 1.2Wrestling2.5 / 0.8Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Caceres
Strike Zones
Figueroa
Caceres
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY3LEGS13 absorbed
Figueroa
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY3LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Caceres targets the head (70% of attacks) — Figueroa absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Figueroa targets the head (46% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Caceres
RND
Figueroa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Caceres · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L2.8L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.0L5.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W7.1L2.8L4.2W5.5L4.5W2.3L4.5W5.3W5.0W4.5W5.4W6.3L5.2W5.4W6.5L6.6L2011-032014-072017-112022-032024-05
WinLossTrend

Figueroa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L5.2W4.7W2.8L5.5L5.5L2011-032011-082012-022013-022013-062013-11
WinLossTrend

Caceres · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6
Decision
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Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5
Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3
Decision
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Figueroa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Roland DelormeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco RiveraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · KO · R2
Jason ReinhardtRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08

News & Media

Alex Caceres · Edwin Figueroa
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