Alex Caceres vs Edwin Figueroa — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit

Las Vegas, USA

4 Feb 2012

Bantamweight

74%

Caceres

26%

Figueroa

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Alex Caceres

"Bruce Leeroy"

21 – 15

5'10"73" reachSouthpaw38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 40

Edwin Figueroa

"El Feroz"

9 – 5

Well-Rounded3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"

CFR 14

★ Official Result

Edwin FigueroawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Alex Caceres · UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Caceres

→

Actual result

Figueroa wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Caceres is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Caceres's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

CaceresFigueroa

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Caceres

Figueroa

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"+

Height

5'7"

73"+

Reach

69"

38+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Caceres

Figueroa

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

39.7

13.9

42.2

Performance Avg

37.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Caceres

Figueroa

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.7

/ 10

5.7

/ 10

3.8

Style: Pressure

4.5

6.1

Style: Volume

4.7

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

10Distance8

0Clinch2

0Ground3

Caceres

Figueroa

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.5

/ 10

1.2

/ 10

2.5

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.8

2.5

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Caceres

Figueroa

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

18 fights ago

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

30/36 fights

Chin rating based on

6/14 fights

Caceres

Figueroa

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

Caceres

Figueroa

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

31%

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Caceres

Figueroa

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.7

3.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.2

2.5

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.8

2.5

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

3.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.5

6.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.7

Caceres

Strike Zones

Figueroa

Caceres

Attacking

10 landed

Absorbing

13 absorbed

Figueroa

Attacking

13 landed

Absorbing

10 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Caceres targets the head (70% of attacks) — Figueroa absorbs 70% of strikes there

🎯Figueroa targets the head (46% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Caceres

RND

Figueroa

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Caceres · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Sean Woodson

Decision

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Decision

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Decision

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Julian Erosa

KO/TKO

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Decision

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Figueroa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Erik Perez

Decision

UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11

L · Dec · R3

Roland Delorme

Decision

UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06

L · KO · R2

Francisco Rivera

KO/TKO

UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02

W · Dec · R3

Alex Caceres

Decision

UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02

W · KO · R2

Jason Reinhardt

KO/TKO

UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08

News & Media

Alex Caceres · Edwin Figueroa

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