UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov
Albuquerque, USA
7 Jun 2014
Flyweight
VS
57%
Jorgensen
43%
Martinez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SJ
Scott Jorgensen
"Young Guns"
15 – 12
5'5"66" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
DM
Danny Martinez
"The Gremlin"
21 – 8
Well-Rounded40 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jorgensen

This is a genuine toss-up — Jorgensen at 57% vs Martinez at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Jorgensen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Jorgensen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jorgensen's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jorgensen
Martinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
66"
Reach
+67"
43
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jorgensen
Martinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
10.7
37.9
Performance Avg
25.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
54
Momentum Score
33
Jorgensen
Martinez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.8
38%
Strike Accuracy
27%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
5
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance4
5Clinch2
0Ground0
Jorgensen
Martinez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jorgensen
Martinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/29 fights
Jorgensen
Martinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jorgensen
Martinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jorgensen
Martinez
Striking3.2 / 0.5Volume4.7 / 8.5Grappling3.2 / 2.4Wrestling2.2 / 1.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Jorgensen
Strike Zones
Martinez
Jorgensen
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Martinez
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jorgensen targets the head (67% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Martinez targets the head (83% of attacks) — Jorgensen absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jorgensen
RND
Martinez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Jorgensen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W3.4L5.5L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.5L2.8L2011-062012-062013-122014-102015-11
WinLossTrend

Martinez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W2014-022014-062015-062015-11
WinLossTrend

Jorgensen · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alejandro PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Sub · R1
Wilson ReisRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

Martinez · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Richie VaculikRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Sirwan KakaiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Scott JorgensenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris CariasoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

News & Media

Scott Jorgensen · Danny Martinez
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