UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
Fortaleza, Brazil
8 Jun 2013
Featherweight
VS
49%
Pepey
51%
Arantes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:32
GP
Godofredo Pepey
13 – 6
5'7"73" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
FA
Felipe Arantes
"Sertanejo"
18 – 10
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'8"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arantes

This is a genuine toss-up — Pepey at 49% vs Arantes at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Pepey throws more volume but Arantes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Pepey's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Arantes has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pepey
Arantes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
73"
Reach
73"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pepey
Arantes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
17.8
47.8
Performance Avg
43.8
49
Quality of Victory
43
46
Momentum Score
64
Pepey
Arantes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.0
38%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
26
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
3Ground26
Pepey
Arantes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pepey
Arantes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
68
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
12/28 fights
Pepey
Arantes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
64
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Pepey
Arantes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pepey
Arantes
Striking2.9 / 2.9Volume2.5 / 4.1Grappling5.3 / 4.2Wrestling3.7 / 2.9Submission6.0 / 4.0Pressure7.0 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Pepey
Strike Zones
Arantes
Pepey
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD1BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Arantes
Attacking
26HEAD1BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pepey targets the head (100% of attacks) — Arantes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Arantes targets the head (96% of attacks) — Pepey absorbs 96% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pepey
RND
Arantes
0/0R00/0

Pepey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W5.0W5.7W6.0L5.0W5.5L1.5L2012-062013-112015-032017-072018-01
WinLossTrend

Arantes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W6.2L5.0W5.2W5.5L5.6L4.1L2011-082013-092015-082017-102018-06
WinLossTrend

Pepey · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Mirsad BekticRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Shane BurgosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Sub · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Andre FiliRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03

Arantes · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Song YadongRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Jerrod SandersRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Yves JabouinRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08

News & Media

Godofredo Pepey · Felipe Arantes
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