METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Aug 2024
Lightweight
VS
87%
Herbert
13%
Bedoya
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jai HerbertwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rolando Bedoya · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Herbert
→
Actual result
Herbert wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Herbert is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Herbert has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Risk flags
Herbert's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HerbertBedoya
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Herbert
Bedoya
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
77"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herbert
Bedoya
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.6
7.4
43.3
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
74
Momentum Score
0
Herbert
Bedoya
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.9
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
13
8
Body
0
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
37Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Herbert
Bedoya
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Herbert
Bedoya
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Herbert
Bedoya
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Herbert
Bedoya
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Herbert
Bedoya
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HerbertBedoya
Strike Zones
Herbert
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedBedoya
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Herbert targets the head (65% of attacks) — Bedoya absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Bedoya targets the head (81% of attacks) — Herbert absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Herbert
RND
Bedoya
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Herbert · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Mandel NalloKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
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Jai HerbertDecision
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