METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2017
Flyweight
VS
58%
Johnson
42%
Borg
Win Probability
Submission
Round 5 · 3:15
★ Official Result
Demetrious JohnsonwinsSubmissionR5 · 3:15
def. Ray Borg · UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Submission · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 58% vs Borg at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonBorg
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Borg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
66"+
Reach
63"
40
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Borg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.2
18.5
69.9
Performance Avg
42.5
58
Quality of Victory
32
85
Momentum Score
89
Johnson
Borg
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
3.8
6.0
Style: Volume
6.9
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch1
5Ground0
Johnson
Borg
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
5
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Borg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
80
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Johnson
Borg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
89
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R5
Johnson
Borg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
29%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Borg
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
JohnsonBorg
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedBorg
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the body (67% of attacks) — Borg absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Borg targets the head (67% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Borg
0/0R00/0
Johnson · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Henry CejudoDecision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · Sub · R5
Ray BorgSubmission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Sub · R3
Wilson ReisSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Dec · R5
Tim ElliottDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
Borg · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio BontorinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Gabriel SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Sub · R5
Demetrious JohnsonSubmission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10