★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2017
Flyweight
VS
58%
Johnson
42%
Borg
Win Probability
Submission
Round 5 · 3:15
DJ
Demetrious Johnson
"Mighty Mouse"
27 – 3
5'3"66" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 25
RB
Ray Borg
"The Tazmexican Devil"
13 – 5
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'4"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 58% vs Borg at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Johnson
Borg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
66"+
Reach
63"
39
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Borg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.2
18.5
69.9
Performance Avg
42.5
58
Quality of Victory
32
85
Momentum Score
89
Johnson
Borg
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.6
58%
Strike Accuracy
56%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch1
5Ground0
Johnson
Borg
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Borg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
80
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Johnson
Borg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
89
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R5
Johnson
Borg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
29%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Borg
Striking3.1 / 1.2Volume6.0 / 6.9Grappling4.0 / 4.0Wrestling2.8 / 2.8Submission3.3 / 2.9Pressure5.9 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Johnson
Strike Zones
Borg
Johnson
Attacking
2HEAD4BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Borg
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD4BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the body (67% of attacks) — Borg absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Borg targets the head (67% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Borg
0/0R00/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W5.0W4.5W5.1W7.0W4.5W6.5W4.6W5.2W5.5W7.0L2011-022013-012015-042017-102018-08
WinLossTrend

Borg · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W4.5W6.2L2014-042015-082017-032019-072020-05
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Henry CejudoRating 7
Decision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · Sub · R5
Ray BorgRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Sub · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.2
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Dec · R5
Tim ElliottRating 4.6
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04

Borg · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio BontorinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Gabriel SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Sub · R5
Demetrious JohnsonRating 4
Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10

News & Media

Demetrious Johnson · Ray Borg
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