Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes

Miami, USA

12 Apr 2025

Lightweight

41%

Chandler

59%

Pimblett

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 3 · 3:07

Michael Chandler

"Iron"

23 – 10

5'8"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs4-fight slideKnockout Artist

CFR 48

Paddy Pimblett

"The Baddy"

23 – 4

Pressure Fighter31 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"

CFR 70

★ Official Result

Paddy PimblettwinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:07

def. Michael Chandler · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Pimblett

→

Actual result

Pimblett wins

KO/TKO · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Chandler at 41% vs Pimblett at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Chandler's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

ChandlerPimblett

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Chandler

Pimblett

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"

Height

+5'10"

71"

Reach

+73"

Age

+31

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Chandler

Pimblett

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

47.8

70.2

44.5

Performance Avg

64.2

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Chandler

Pimblett

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

10.0

/ 10

4.3

/ 10

7.8

Style: Pressure

7.9

0.5

Style: Volume

3.8

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

1Distance8

0Clinch0

0Ground22

Chandler

Pimblett

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.0

/ 10

4.6

/ 10

0.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.2

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

5.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Chandler

Pimblett

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

8/33 fights

Chin rating based on

9/27 fights

Chandler

Pimblett

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · KO · R1

L · KO · R3

L · Dec · R5

L · Sub · R3

W · KO · R2

Last 5

W · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R5

W · KO · R3

W · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

Chandler

Pimblett

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

75%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chandler

Pimblett

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

10.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.3

0.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.6

0.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.2

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

5.0

7.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.9

0.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.8

Chandler

Strike Zones

Pimblett

Chandler

Attacking

1 landed

Absorbing

30 absorbed

Pimblett

Attacking

30 landed

Absorbing

1 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Chandler targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pimblett absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Pimblett targets the head (93% of attacks) — Chandler absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chandler

RND

Pimblett

0/0R00/0

Chandler · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Mauricio Ruffy

KO/TKO

UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06

L · KO · R3

Paddy Pimblett

KO/TKO

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04

L · Dec · R5

Charles Oliveira

Decision

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

L · Sub · R3

Dustin Poirier

Submission

UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

W · KO · R2

Tony Ferguson

KO/TKO

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

Pimblett · Last 5

W · Sub · R1

Benoit Saint Denis

Submission

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

L · Dec · R5

Justin Gaethje

Decision

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01

W · KO · R3

Michael Chandler

KO/TKO

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04

W · Sub · R1

King Green

Submission

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

W · Dec · R3

Tony Ferguson

Decision

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

News & Media

Michael Chandler · Paddy Pimblett

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