UFC Fight Night 4
Las Vegas, USA
6 Apr 2006
Welterweight
VS
48%
Neer
52%
Stevenson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JN
Josh Neer
"The Dentist"
36 – 16
5'11"72" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JS
Joe Stevenson
"Daddy"
33 – 16
Well-Rounded4-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Stevenson

This is a genuine toss-up — Neer at 48% vs Stevenson at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Neer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Neer's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Stevenson has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Neer
Stevenson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
70"
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Neer
Stevenson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
19.6
39.5
Performance Avg
49.2
39
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
86
Neer
Stevenson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
5
0
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch1
11Ground3
Neer
Stevenson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Neer
Stevenson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/52 fights
Chin rating based on
16/49 fights
Neer
Stevenson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
86
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Neer
Stevenson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Neer
Stevenson
Striking0.8 / 2.3Volume3.5 / 4.0Grappling4.8 / 3.9Wrestling3.4 / 2.7Submission5.0 / 3.8Pressure4.7 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Neer
Strike Zones
Stevenson
Neer
Attacking
15HEAD0BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Stevenson
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD0BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Neer targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stevenson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Stevenson targets the head (56% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Neer
RND
Stevenson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Neer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L4.2W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.7L2005-082006-082009-082012-062013-02
WinLossTrend

Stevenson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.5L4.2W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.1L5.2W1.5L5.5L4.5W5.2W5.5L1.5L5.5L5.5L2005-112007-042008-112010-022011-06
WinLossTrend

Neer · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Justin EdwardsRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Duane LudwigRating 5
Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · R2
Keith WisniewskiRating 4.2
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

Stevenson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Javier VazquezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Mac DanzigRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10

News & Media

Josh Neer · Joe Stevenson
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