METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 4
Las Vegas, USA
6 Apr 2006
Welterweight
VS
48%
Neer
52%
Stevenson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Josh NeerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joe Stevenson · UFC Fight Night 4
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stevenson
→
Actual result
Neer wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Neer at 48% vs Stevenson at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Neer's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stevenson has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NeerStevenson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Neer
Stevenson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
70"
43+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Neer
Stevenson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
19.6
39.5
Performance Avg
49.2
39
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
86
Neer
Stevenson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
5.0
3.5
Style: Volume
4.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
5
0
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch1
11Ground3
Neer
Stevenson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
3
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Neer
Stevenson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/52 fights
Chin rating based on
16/49 fights
Neer
Stevenson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
86
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Neer
Stevenson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Neer
Stevenson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
NeerStevenson
Strike Zones
Neer
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedStevenson
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Neer targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stevenson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Stevenson targets the head (56% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Neer
RND
Stevenson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Neer · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Justin EdwardsSubmission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Duane LudwigSubmission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · R2
Keith WisniewskiUFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
Stevenson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Javier VazquezDecision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloDecision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Mac DanzigKO/TKO
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosDecision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherKO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10