METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
Austin, USA
18 Feb 2018
Middleweight
VS
91%
Piechota
9%
Williams
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:54
TW
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Oskar PiechotawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:54
def. Tim Williams · UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Piechota
→
Actual result
Piechota wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Piechota is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Piechota has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Risk flags
Piechota's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Williams has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PiechotaWilliams
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Piechota
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
76"
Reach
76"
36+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Piechota
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
1.6
41.5
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
63
Momentum Score
0
Piechota
Williams
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.8
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
4
2
Body
0
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance8
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Piechota
Williams
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Piechota
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
2/20 fights
Piechota
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Piechota
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Piechota
Williams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PiechotaWilliams
Strike Zones
Piechota
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedWilliams
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Piechota targets the head (76% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the head (50% of attacks) — Piechota absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Piechota
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Piechota · Last 5
Upcoming
Marc-Andre BarriaultUFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Punahele SorianoKO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Sub · R2
Rodolfo VieiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Tim WilliamsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
Williams · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Eryk AndersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · KO · R1
Oskar PiechotaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02