METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
Austin, USA
18 Feb 2018
Middleweight
VS
91%
Piechota
9%
Williams
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:54
TW
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Oskar PiechotawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:54
def. Tim Williams · UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Piechota
→
Actual result
Piechota wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Piechota is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Piechota has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Piechota has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Piechota's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Williams has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PiechotaWilliams
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Piechota
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
76"
Reach
76"
36+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Piechota
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
1.6
41.5
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
63
Momentum Score
0
Piechota
Williams
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
1.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
4
2
Body
0
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance8
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Piechota
Williams
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Piechota
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
2/20 fights
Piechota
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Piechota
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Piechota
Williams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PiechotaWilliams
Strike Zones
Piechota
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedWilliams
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Piechota targets the head (76% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the head (50% of attacks) — Piechota absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Piechota
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Piechota · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Williams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Piechota · Last 5
Upcoming
Marc-Andre BarriaultUFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Punahele SorianoRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Sub · R2
Rodolfo VieiraRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Tim WilliamsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
Williams · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Eryk AndersRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · KO · R1
Oskar PiechotaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02