UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2016
Lightweight
VS
47%
Burkman
53%
Noons
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JB
CFR 14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Noons
This is a genuine toss-up — Burkman at 47% vs Noons at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Noons throws more volume but Burkman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Burkman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burkman
Noons
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
70"
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burkman
Noons
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
16.1
34.7
Performance Avg
41.5
36
Quality of Victory
43
80
Momentum Score
43
Burkman
Noons
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
18
3
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance10
1Clinch10
3Ground0
Burkman
Noons
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burkman
Noons
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/44 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Burkman
Noons
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
43
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Burkman
Noons
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burkman
Noons
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
BurkmanNoons
Strike Zones
Burkman
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedNoons
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burkman targets the head (57% of attacks) — Noons absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Noons targets the head (90% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burkman
RND
Noons
0/0R00/0
Burkman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Noons · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Burkman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
Noons · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Sub · R1
Alex OliveiraRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
Upcoming
Daron CruickshankThe Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Sam StoutRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 4.5Decision
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