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UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Austin, USA
2 Dec 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
46%
Hardy
54%
Horth
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Veronica
Veronica Hardy
105
5'4"64" reachSouthpaw30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Jamey-Lyn
Jamey-Lyn Horth
93
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'7"
CFR 48
★ Official Result
Veronica HardywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jamey-Lyn Horth · UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Horth
Actual result
Hardy wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Hardy at 46% vs Horth at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Hardy's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HardyHorth
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Hardy
Horth
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
64"
Reach
+66"
30+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hardy
Horth
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
48.4
38.5
Performance Avg
43.1
31
Quality of Victory
34
55
Momentum Score
60
Hardy
Horth
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
2.9
Style: Pressure
3.5
7.4
Style: Volume
7.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
11
4
Body
8
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance7
3Clinch13
0Ground0
Hardy
Horth
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hardy
Horth
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
8/12 fights
Hardy
Horth
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
60
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hardy
Horth
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hardy
Horth
Striking1.0 / 3.6Volume7.4 / 7.1Grappling3.5 / 1.8Wrestling2.5 / 1.3Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure2.9 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Hardy
Strike Zones
Horth
Hardy
Attacking
7HEAD4BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD8BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Horth
Attacking
11HEAD8BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD4BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (54% of attacks) — Horth absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Horth targets the head (55% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hardy
RND
Horth
0/0R00/0

Hardy · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Brogan Walker
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Eduarda Moura
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
JJ Aldrich
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Juliana Miller
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

Horth · Last 5

Upcoming
Katlyn Cerminara
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
JJ Aldrich
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Tereza Bleda
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa Demopoulos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda Maverick
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

News & Media

Veronica Hardy · Jamey-Lyn Horth
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