UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Austin, USA
2 Dec 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
46%
Hardy
54%
Horth
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Veronica
Veronica Hardy
10 – 5
5'4"64" reachSouthpaw30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Jamey-Lyn
Jamey-Lyn Horth
9 – 3
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'7"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Horth

This is a genuine toss-up — Hardy at 46% vs Horth at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Horth has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hardy's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hardy
Horth
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
64"
Reach
+66"
30+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hardy
Horth
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
48.4
38.5
Performance Avg
43.1
31
Quality of Victory
34
55
Momentum Score
60
Hardy
Horth
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
11
4
Body
8
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance7
3Clinch13
0Ground0
Hardy
Horth
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hardy
Horth
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
7/12 fights
Hardy
Horth
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
60
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hardy
Horth
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hardy
Horth
Striking1.0 / 3.6Volume7.4 / 7.1Grappling3.5 / 1.8Wrestling2.5 / 1.3Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure2.9 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Hardy
Strike Zones
Horth
Hardy
Attacking
7HEAD4BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD8BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Horth
Attacking
11HEAD8BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD4BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (54% of attacks) — Horth absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Horth targets the head (55% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hardy
RND
Horth
0/0R00/0

Hardy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.0L5.9L4.0L5.3W5.5L4.7W5.2W5.1W6.3L4.5W2016-092019-082023-122025-10
WinLossTrend

Horth · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.8L4.9W6.3L4.7W5.0W6.1L2023-042024-112025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Hardy · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Brogan WalkerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Juliana MillerRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

Horth · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Tereza BledaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Ivana PetrovicRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11

News & Media

Veronica Hardy · Jamey-Lyn Horth
← Back to fights