UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus
Columbus, USA
26 Mar 2022
Bantamweight
VS
48%
Gutierrez
52%
Danaa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:34
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Danaa
This is a genuine toss-up — Gutierrez at 48% vs Danaa at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Danaa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Striking split: Danaa throws more volume but Gutierrez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Danaa has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gutierrez
Danaa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+70"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gutierrez
Danaa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
47.5
49.3
Performance Avg
53.1
35
Quality of Victory
60
25
Momentum Score
85
Gutierrez
Danaa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.3
61%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
7
1
Body
1
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance9
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Gutierrez
Danaa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gutierrez
Danaa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Gutierrez
Danaa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
85
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Gutierrez
Danaa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gutierrez
Danaa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
GutierrezDanaa
Strike Zones
Gutierrez
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedDanaa
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gutierrez targets the head (55% of attacks) — Danaa absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Danaa targets the head (78% of attacks) — Gutierrez absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gutierrez
RND
Danaa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gutierrez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Danaa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Gutierrez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Quang LeRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Song YadongRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
Danaa · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Brady HiestandRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 6.4Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · KO · R2
Chris GutierrezRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R1
Brandon DavisRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Kevin NatividadRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
