Mackenzie Dern vs Loopy Godinez — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

3 Aug 2024

Women's Strawweight

58%

Dern

42%

Godinez

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Mackenzie Dern

16 – 5

5'4"63" reachOrthodox33 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 60

Loopy Godinez

14 – 6

Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox61" reach5'2"

CFR 44

★ Official Result

Mackenzie DernwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Loopy Godinez · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Dern

→

Actual result

Dern wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Dern at 58% vs Godinez at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

DernGodinez

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Dern

Godinez

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'4"+

Height

5'2"

63"+

Reach

61"

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Dern

Godinez

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

60.4

44.1

52.7

Performance Avg

42.6

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Dern

Godinez

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.4

/ 10

1.2

/ 10

5.0

Style: Pressure

3.4

6.1

Style: Volume

7.4

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

19Distance23

4Clinch5

0Ground0

Dern

Godinez

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.7

/ 10

3.6

/ 10

3.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.5

4.2

Submission Style (/10)

2.2

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Dern

Godinez

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

5 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

17/21 fights

Chin rating based on

15/20 fights

Dern

Godinez

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

W · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Dern

Godinez

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

42%

22%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dern

Godinez

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.2

4.7

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.6

3.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.5

4.2

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.2

5.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.4

6.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.4

Dern

Strike Zones

Godinez

Dern

Attacking

23 landed

Absorbing

28 absorbed

Godinez

Attacking

28 landed

Absorbing

23 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Dern targets the head (83% of attacks) — Godinez absorbs 83% of strikes there

🎯Godinez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Dern absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dern

RND

Godinez

0/0R00/0

Dern · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Gillian Robertson

Decision

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08

W · Dec · R5

Virna Jandiroba

Decision

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10

W · Sub · R3

Amanda Ribas

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01

W · Dec · R3

Loopy Godinez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

L · Dec · R3

Amanda Lemos

Decision

UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Godinez · Last 5

L · Sub · R2

Tatiana Suarez

Submission

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04

W · Dec · R3

Jessica Andrade

Decision

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

W · Dec · R3

Julia Polastri

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

L · Dec · R3

Mackenzie Dern

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

L · Dec · R3

Virna Jandiroba

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03

News & Media

Mackenzie Dern · Loopy Godinez

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