METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jan 2024
Middleweight
VS
30%
Hawes
70%
Ferreira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:55
★ Official Result
Brunno FerreirawinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:55
def. Phil Hawes · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ferreira
→
Actual result
Ferreira wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Ferreira is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ferreira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Hawes's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ferreira has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HawesFerreira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hawes
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
72"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hawes
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.9
62.7
44.8
Performance Avg
54.8
41
Quality of Victory
51
13
Momentum Score
91
Hawes
Ferreira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
6.2
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
7.6
5.0
Style: Volume
2.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
18
4
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance15
1Clinch0
0Ground4
Hawes
Ferreira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hawes
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
42
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Hawes
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
91
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Hawes
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
83%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hawes
Ferreira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
HawesFerreira
Strike Zones
Hawes
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedFerreira
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hawes targets the head (62% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the head (95% of attacks) — Hawes absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hawes
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hawes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovKO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Roman DolidzeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · KO · R2
Deron WinnKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Chris CurtisKO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
Ferreira · Last 5
Upcoming
Edmen ShahbazyanUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Ikram AliskerovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Jackson McVeySubmission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07