UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
Boston, USA
17 Jan 2016
Lightweight
VS
35%
Pearson
65%
Trinaldo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Trinaldo
Trinaldo holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Pearson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Pearson throws more volume but Trinaldo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pearson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Trinaldo has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pearson
Trinaldo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
+70"
41+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pearson
Trinaldo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
31.7
44.3
Performance Avg
48.6
42
Quality of Victory
35
89
Momentum Score
100
Pearson
Trinaldo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
12
5
Body
5
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance9
1Clinch9
3Ground0
Pearson
Trinaldo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pearson
Trinaldo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
64
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
26/37 fights
Pearson
Trinaldo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Pearson
Trinaldo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pearson
Trinaldo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
PearsonTrinaldo
Strike Zones
Pearson
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTrinaldo
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pearson targets the head (46% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pearson absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pearson
RND
Trinaldo
0/0R00/0
Pearson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Trinaldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Pearson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Desmond GreenRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07