UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
15 Feb 2014
Welterweight
VS
56%
Andrade
44%
Musoke
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Andrade
This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 56% vs Musoke at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Musoke throws more volume but Andrade connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Andrade
Musoke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Musoke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.3
15.7
52.0
Performance Avg
40.8
37
Quality of Victory
35
77
Momentum Score
53
Andrade
Musoke
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.2
42%
Strike Accuracy
33%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
0
Body
0
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch4
0Ground2
Andrade
Musoke
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Andrade
Musoke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/25 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Andrade
Musoke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
77
53
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Andrade
Musoke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Musoke
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
AndradeMusoke
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedMusoke
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (100% of attacks) — Musoke absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Musoke targets the head (60% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Musoke
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Musoke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Andrade · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Richard WalshRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
W · KO · R1
Bristol MarundeRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
Musoke · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Bojan VelickovicRating 4KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Viscardi AndradeRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02