METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Uniondale, USA
22 Jul 2017
Welterweight
VS
33%
LaFlare
67%
Oliveira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:50
★ Official Result
Alex OliveirawinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:50
def. Ryan LaFlare · UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but LaFlare has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
LaFlare's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LaFlareOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
LaFlare
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
+76"
42
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
LaFlare
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
29.9
43.0
Performance Avg
46.5
25
Quality of Victory
43
60
Momentum Score
100
LaFlare
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
2.1
Style: Pressure
6.0
9.4
Style: Volume
4.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance6
0Clinch1
0Ground0
LaFlare
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
LaFlare
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
22/34 fights
LaFlare
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
100
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
LaFlare
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
64%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
LaFlare
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
2.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
9.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
LaFlareOliveira
Strike Zones
LaFlare
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯LaFlare targets the head (100% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (57% of attacks) — LaFlare absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
LaFlare
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
LaFlare · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinKO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Alex OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroDecision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Mike PierceDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
Oliveira · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R1
Randy BrownSubmission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07