METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Uniondale, USA
22 Jul 2017
Welterweight
VS
33%
LaFlare
67%
Oliveira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:50
★ Official Result
Alex OliveirawinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:50
def. Ryan LaFlare · UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but LaFlare has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Oliveira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
LaFlare's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LaFlareOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
LaFlare
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
+76"
42
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
LaFlare
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
29.9
43.0
Performance Avg
46.5
25
Quality of Victory
43
60
Momentum Score
100
LaFlare
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance6
0Clinch1
0Ground0
LaFlare
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
LaFlare
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
22/34 fights
LaFlare
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
100
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
LaFlare
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
64%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
LaFlare
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
2.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
9.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
LaFlareOliveira
Strike Zones
LaFlare
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯LaFlare targets the head (100% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (57% of attacks) — LaFlare absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
LaFlare
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
LaFlare · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
LaFlare · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Mike PierceRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
Oliveira · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Kevin HollandRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R1
Randy BrownRating 2.4Submission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 3.6Submission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07