METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
13 Mar 2021
Welterweight
VS
69%
Semelsberger
31%
Witt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:16
★ Official Result
Matthew SemelsbergerwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:16
def. Jason Witt · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Semelsberger
→
Actual result
Semelsberger wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Semelsberger holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Witt has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Semelsberger's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Witt has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SemelsbergerWitt
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Semelsberger
Witt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
70"
33+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Semelsberger
Witt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.1
20.2
41.6
Performance Avg
35.7
39
Quality of Victory
37
84
Momentum Score
45
Semelsberger
Witt
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
4.5
5.7
Style: Volume
4.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Semelsberger
Witt
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Semelsberger
Witt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
12
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
6/28 fights
Semelsberger
Witt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Semelsberger
Witt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Semelsberger
Witt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
SemelsbergerWitt
Strike Zones
Semelsberger
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedWitt
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Semelsberger targets the head (67% of attacks) — Witt absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Witt targets the head (50% of attacks) — Semelsberger absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Semelsberger
RND
Witt
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Semelsberger · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Charles RadtkeKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsDecision
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L · KO · R3
Uros MedicKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
Witt · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Josh QuinlanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Phil RoweKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Matthew SemelsbergerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R2
Cole WilliamsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10