UFC Fight Night 3
Las Vegas, USA
16 Jan 2006
Welterweight
VS
49%
Flue
51%
Karalexis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Karalexis
This is a genuine toss-up — Flue at 49% vs Karalexis at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Karalexis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Karalexis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Flue
Karalexis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
Reach
66"
50
Age
+48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Flue
Karalexis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
18.9
40.3
Performance Avg
49.3
45
Quality of Victory
60
52
Momentum Score
35
Flue
Karalexis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
0.7
29%
Strike Accuracy
32%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Flue
Karalexis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Flue
Karalexis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/26 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Flue
Karalexis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · R2
W · KO · R1
Flue
Karalexis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Flue
Karalexis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
FlueKaralexis
Strike Zones
Flue
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedKaralexis
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Flue targets the head (100% of attacks) — Karalexis absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Karalexis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Flue absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Flue
RND
Karalexis
0/0R00/0
Flue · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Karalexis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Flue · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Joe RiggsRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night 6 · 2006-08
L · Dec · R3
Luke CummoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 4 · 2006-04
W · Sub · R3
Alex KaralexisRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night 3 · 2006-01
Karalexis · Last 3
L · Sub · R3
Jason Von FlueRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night 3 · 2006-01
L · R2
Kenny FlorianRating 4.8UFC Fight Night 1 · 2005-08
W · KO · R1
Josh RaffertyRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale · 2005-04