UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
Las Vegas, USA
20 Aug 2016
Featherweight
VS
82%
Lobov
18%
Avila
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AL
Artem Lobov
"The Russian Hammer"
13 – 15
5'9"65" reachSouthpaw39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 12
CA
Chris Avila
5 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lobov

Lobov is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lobov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Lobov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Lobov
Avila
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
65"
Reach
39
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lobov
Avila
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.0
2.7
26.4
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Lobov
Avila
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.8
36%
Strike Accuracy
30%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
10
4
Body
1
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance12
1Clinch1
0Ground1
Lobov
Avila
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lobov
Avila
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Lobov
Avila
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Lobov
Avila
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lobov
Avila
Striking0.6 / 0.0Volume8.6 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Lobov
Strike Zones
Avila
Lobov
Attacking
2HEAD4BODY5LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY3LEGS14 absorbed
Avila
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY3LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD4BODY5LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lobov targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Avila absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Avila targets the head (71% of attacks) — Lobov absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lobov
RND
Avila
0/0R00/0

Lobov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W6.0L6.2L5.6L2015-122016-082017-042018-10
WinLossTrend

Avila · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.5L2016-082016-11
WinLossTrend

Lobov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R5
Cub SwansonRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Teruto IshiharaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Chris AvilaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08

Avila · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Enrique BarzolaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Artem LobovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08

News & Media

Artem Lobov · Chris Avila
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