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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2012
Featherweight
VS
54%
Mendes
46%
McKenzie
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:31
CM
Chad Mendes
"Money"
18 – 5
5'6"66" reachOrthodox41 yrsStriker
CFR 21
CM
Cody McKenzie
16 – 10
Well-Rounded38 yrsSwitch72" reach6'0"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Chad MendeswinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:31
def. Cody McKenzie · UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mendes
→
Actual result
Mendes wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Mendes at 54% vs McKenzie at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Mendes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Mendes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

McKenzie has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MendesMcKenzie
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mendes
McKenzie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+6'0"
66"
Reach
+72"
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Mendes
McKenzie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
18.1
54.7
Performance Avg
43.7
48
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
72
Mendes
McKenzie
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.7
57%
Strike Accuracy
32%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
2
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Mendes
McKenzie
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mendes
McKenzie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Mendes
McKenzie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Mendes
McKenzie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mendes
McKenzie
Striking8.0 / 0.9Volume4.0 / 3.5Grappling0.8 / 6.1Wrestling0.6 / 4.3Submission0.0 / 6.7Pressure6.6 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Mendes
Strike Zones
McKenzie
Mendes
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
McKenzie
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mendes targets the head (63% of attacks) — McKenzie absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯McKenzie targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mendes
RND
McKenzie
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Mendes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.9W2.0L5.0W5.0W5.5W6.0W4.5W6.0L5.0W4.1L1.5L5.0W4.2L2011-022012-122014-102018-072018-12
WinLossTrend

McKenzie · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.0W2.8L2.8L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L2010-122011-092012-072013-12
WinLossTrend

Mendes · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles JuryRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarRating 1.5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04

McKenzie · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
W · Dec · R3
Leonard GarciaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Chad MendesRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Sub · R1
Marcus LeVesseurRating 5
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · Sub · R2
Vagner RochaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09

News & Media

Chad Mendes · Cody McKenzie
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