Dricus Du Plessis vs Sean Strickland — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Middleweight

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2

Sydney, Australia

8 Feb 2025

Middleweight

56%

Plessis

44%

Strickland

Win Probability

Decision

Round 5 · 5:00

Dricus Du Plessis

"Stillknocks"

23 – 3

6'1"76" reachSwitch32 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 72

Sean Strickland

31 – 7

Well-Rounded2-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"

CFR 58

★ Official Result

Dricus Du PlessiswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00

def. Sean Strickland · UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Plessis

→

Actual result

Plessis wins

Decision · R5

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Plessis at 56% vs Strickland at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Plessis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Risk flags

Strickland has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

PlessisStrickland

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Plessis

Strickland

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"

Height

6'1"

76"

Reach

76"

32+

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

Plessis

Strickland

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

72.2

57.7

64.5

Performance Avg

50.9

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

100

Plessis

Strickland

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.8

/ 10

4.2

/ 10

6.9

Style: Pressure

4.5

5.0

Style: Volume

6.8

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

5 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

36Distance31

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Plessis

Strickland

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.6

/ 10

2.0

/ 10

1.8

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.4

2.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.6

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Plessis

Strickland

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

9 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

11/26 fights

Chin rating based on

25/38 fights

Plessis

Strickland

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R4

W · Dec · R5

Last 5

W · Dec · R5

W · KO · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R5

Plessis

Strickland

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

60%

33%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Plessis

Strickland

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.8

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.2

2.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.0

1.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.4

2.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.6

6.9

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.5

5.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.8

Plessis

Strike Zones

Strickland

Plessis

Attacking

36 landed

Absorbing

31 absorbed

Strickland

Attacking

31 landed

Absorbing

36 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Plessis targets the head (39% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 39% of strikes there

🎯Strickland targets the head (77% of attacks) — Plessis absorbs 77% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Plessis

RND

Strickland

0/0R00/0

Plessis · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Kamaru Usman

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07

L · Dec · R5

Khamzat Chimaev

Decision

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

W · Dec · R5

Sean Strickland

Decision

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

W · Sub · R4

Israel Adesanya

Submission

UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08

W · Dec · R5

Sean Strickland

Decision

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

Strickland · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Khamzat Chimaev

Decision

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05

W · KO · R3

Anthony Hernandez

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02

L · Dec · R5

Dricus Du Plessis

Decision

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

W · Dec · R5

Paulo Costa

Decision

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

L · Dec · R5

Dricus Du Plessis

Decision

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

News & Media

Dricus Du Plessis · Sean Strickland

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