METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez
San Jose, USA
20 Apr 2013
Featherweight
VS
32%
Mendes
68%
Elkins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:08
★ Official Result
Chad MendeswinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:08
def. Darren Elkins · UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elkins
→
Actual result
Mendes wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Elkins holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Mendes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mendes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Mendes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Elkins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MendesElkins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mendes
Elkins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
66"
Reach
+71"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mendes
Elkins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
44.3
54.7
Performance Avg
45.5
48
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
66
Mendes
Elkins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
4.4
4.0
Style: Volume
6.3
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Mendes
Elkins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.6
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mendes
Elkins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
31/41 fights
Mendes
Elkins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
66
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Mendes
Elkins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
37%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mendes
Elkins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.6
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
MendesElkins
Strike Zones
Mendes
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedElkins
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mendes targets the head (71% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Elkins targets the head (50% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mendes
RND
Elkins
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mendes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles JuryKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Yadier del ValleKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12