METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 6
Las Vegas, USA
17 Aug 2006
Middleweight
VS
88%
Lister
12%
Sasaki
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dean ListerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Yuki Sasaki · UFC Fight Night 6
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lister
→
Actual result
Lister wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lister is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lister has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Sasaki has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ListerSasaki
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lister
Sasaki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
50
Age
+49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lister
Sasaki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
2.7
50.4
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
75
Momentum Score
0
Lister
Sasaki
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
0.7
31%
Strike Accuracy
41%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
8
1
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance9
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Lister
Sasaki
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lister
Sasaki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/20 fights
Chin rating based on
1/47 fights
Lister
Sasaki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
0
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Lister
Sasaki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lister
Sasaki
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ListerSasaki
Strike Zones
Lister
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSasaki
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lister targets the head (88% of attacks) — Sasaki absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Sasaki targets the head (73% of attacks) — Lister absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lister
RND
Sasaki
0/0R00/0
Lister · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Lister · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008 · 2008-12
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy HornRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
W · Dec · R3
Jordan RadevRating 4.5Decision
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
W · Dec · R3
Yuki SasakiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 6 · 2006-08
Sasaki · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Dean ListerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 6 · 2006-08