METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Inglewood, USA
18 Jan 2025
Bantamweight
VS
56%
Talbott
44%
Barcelos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Raoni BarceloswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Payton Talbott · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Talbott
→
Actual result
Barcelos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Talbott at 56% vs Barcelos at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TalbottBarcelos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Talbott
Barcelos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
67"
28+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Talbott
Barcelos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.5
51.6
58.5
Performance Avg
49.8
42
Quality of Victory
34
86
Momentum Score
63
Talbott
Barcelos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
4.8
4.9
Style: Volume
6.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
37
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance7
6Clinch3
5Ground27
Talbott
Barcelos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Talbott
Barcelos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/12 fights
Chin rating based on
16/27 fights
Talbott
Barcelos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
86
63
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Talbott
Barcelos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
36%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Talbott
Barcelos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
TalbottBarcelos
Strike Zones
Talbott
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedBarcelos
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Talbott targets the head (82% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Barcelos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Talbott absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Talbott
RND
Barcelos
0/0R00/0
Talbott · Last 5
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