UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
13 Mar 2021
Featherweight
VS
60%
Ige
40%
Tucker
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ige
Ige holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Tucker has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ige has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ige's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tucker has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ige
Tucker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
66"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ige
Tucker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
32.1
46.3
Performance Avg
43.9
42
Quality of Victory
35
53
Momentum Score
33
Ige
Tucker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
36%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ige
Tucker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ige
Tucker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/30 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Ige
Tucker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Ige
Tucker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ige
Tucker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
IgeTucker
Strike Zones
Ige
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTucker
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ige targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tucker absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Tucker targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Ige absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ige
RND
Tucker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ige · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Tucker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Ige · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 5.5Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesRating 6.8Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Tucker · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Diego LopesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Dan IgeRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 5.7Decision
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
W · Sub · R3
Justin JaynesRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Sub · R3
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.7Submission
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07