METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
Las Vegas, USA
18 Sept 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
58%
Smith
42%
Spann
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:47
★ Official Result
Anthony SmithwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:47
def. Ryan Spann · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smith
→
Actual result
Smith wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 58% vs Spann at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Spann has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmithSpann
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smith
Spann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'5"
76"
Reach
+79"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Spann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.3
41.9
50.7
Performance Avg
53.3
50
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
10
Smith
Spann
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
7.4
2.3
Style: Volume
2.8
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
5
3
Body
3
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance6
0Clinch1
6Ground1
Smith
Spann
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
5
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Spann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/60 fights
Chin rating based on
17/35 fights
Smith
Spann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
10
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Smith
Spann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
77%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Spann
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
SmithSpann
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedSpann
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (65% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Spann targets the head (63% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Spann
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R1
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L · KO · R2
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
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Roman DolidzeDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoSubmission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO
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Spann · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · KO · R2
Marcus BuchechaKO/TKO
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W · Sub · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiSubmission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaKO/TKO
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W · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxSubmission
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