UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Las Vegas, USA
6 Mar 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
45%
Nzechukwu
55%
Ulberg
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:19
Kennedy
Kennedy Nzechukwu
"Chosen"
14 – 6
6'5"83" reachSouthpaw33 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 60
Carlos
Carlos Ulberg
"Black Jag"
15 – 1
Knockout Artist10-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 74

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ulberg

This is a genuine toss-up — Nzechukwu at 45% vs Ulberg at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ulberg has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nzechukwu's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Nzechukwu
Ulberg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'4"
83"+
Reach
77"
33+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nzechukwu
Ulberg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.3
73.9
53.2
Performance Avg
68.2
51
Quality of Victory
53
88
Momentum Score
100
Nzechukwu
Ulberg
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
3.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
58%
8.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
44
Head
48
0
Body
8
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
36Distance63
1Clinch0
7Ground0
Nzechukwu
Ulberg
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.3
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nzechukwu
Ulberg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Nzechukwu
Ulberg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
100
Current form
10-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Nzechukwu
Ulberg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
70%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nzechukwu
Ulberg
Striking8.6 / 7.8Volume2.1 / 4.2Grappling1.3 / 1.5Wrestling0.9 / 1.1Submission1.3 / 1.0Pressure7.8 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.8
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Nzechukwu
Strike Zones
Ulberg
Nzechukwu
Attacking
44HEAD0BODY0LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
48HEAD8BODY7LEGS63 absorbed
Ulberg
Attacking
48HEAD8BODY7LEGS63 landed
Absorbing
44HEAD0BODY0LEGS44 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nzechukwu targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ulberg absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ulberg targets the head (76% of attacks) — Nzechukwu absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nzechukwu
RND
Ulberg
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nzechukwu · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.7L4.5W7.2W5.5W2.1L5.5L5.5W5.5W5.2W2.9L6.1L6.0W5.0W3.4L2019-032021-112023-052024-122025-07
WinLossTrend

Ulberg · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.0L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W6.1W5.9W5.3W5.1W6.0W6.7W2021-032022-112024-052025-092026-04
WinLossTrend

Nzechukwu · Last 5

Upcoming
Marcus Buchecha
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerRating 3.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Chris BarnettRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03

Ulberg · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

News & Media

Kennedy Nzechukwu · Carlos Ulberg
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