METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
25 Oct 2014
Welterweight
VS
14%
Macario
86%
Magny
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:40
★ Official Result
Neil MagnywinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:40
def. William Macario · UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magny
→
Actual result
Magny wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Magny is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Magny has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Macario's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Magny has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MacarioMagny
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Macario
Magny
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+80"
35+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Macario
Magny
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.1
49.4
25.0
Performance Avg
48.3
25
Quality of Victory
37
17
Momentum Score
81
Macario
Magny
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
0.8
Style: Pressure
5.0
8.5
Style: Volume
5.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
30
0
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground22
Macario
Magny
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.2
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Macario
Magny
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
6
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
38/46 fights
Macario
Magny
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
81
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Macario
Magny
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
14
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Macario
Magny
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.2
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
MacarioMagny
Strike Zones
Macario
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedMagny
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Macario targets the head (100% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Magny targets the head (91% of attacks) — Macario absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Macario
RND
Magny
0/0R00/0
Macario · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Matt DwyerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · KO · R3
Neil MagnyKO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Bobby VoelkerDecision
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Sub · R2
Leonardo SantosSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
Magny · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Ramiz BrahimajKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11