UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson
Melbourne, Australia
26 Nov 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Jr.
51%
Pedro
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:07
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pedro
This is a genuine toss-up — Jr. at 49% vs Pedro at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pedro has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Pedro has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jr.'s chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pedro has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jr.
Pedro
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+79"
36
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jr.
Pedro
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.7
55.6
52.0
Performance Avg
56.6
48
Quality of Victory
58
77
Momentum Score
65
Jr.
Pedro
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
60%
8.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jr.
Pedro
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jr.
Pedro
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/22 fights
Chin rating based on
11/15 fights
Jr.
Pedro
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
77
65
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Jr.
Pedro
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jr.
Pedro
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.8
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.6
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.1
Jr.Pedro
Strike Zones
Jr.
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedPedro
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jr. targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pedro absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pedro targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jr.
RND
Pedro
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jr. · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Pedro · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Jr. · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Alex PereiraRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
Pedro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Anton TurkaljRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Harry HunsuckerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · KO · R1
Ike VillanuevaRating 5KO/TKO
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