UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2011
Welterweight
VS
45%
Ellenberger
55%
Rocha
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JE
Jake Ellenberger
"The Juggernaut"
31 – 15
5'9"71" reachOrthodox41 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
CE
Carlos Eduardo Rocha
"Ta Danado"
9 – 4
Submission Hunter2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rocha

This is a genuine toss-up — Ellenberger at 45% vs Rocha at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Ellenberger throws more volume but Rocha connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Ellenberger's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ellenberger
Rocha
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ellenberger
Rocha
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
19.5
45.7
Performance Avg
45.7
45
Quality of Victory
54
56
Momentum Score
52
Ellenberger
Rocha
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
2
Body
0
2
Leg
9
RangeRange
7Distance14
2Clinch0
1Ground0
Ellenberger
Rocha
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ellenberger
Rocha
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
7
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/46 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Ellenberger
Rocha
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
52
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Ellenberger
Rocha
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ellenberger
Rocha
Striking6.0 / 0.7Volume3.4 / 0.7Grappling1.5 / 8.0Wrestling1.1 / 5.6Submission1.0 / 10.0Pressure5.6 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Ellenberger
Strike Zones
Rocha
Ellenberger
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY9LEGS14 absorbed
Rocha
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY9LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ellenberger targets the head (60% of attacks) — Rocha absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Rocha targets the legs (64% of attacks) — Ellenberger absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ellenberger
RND
Rocha
0/0R00/0

Ellenberger · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.5L4.3L1.8L5.2W2.1L5.5L5.4W1.5L2.8L1.5L1.9L2009-092012-022014-112017-042018-08
WinLossTrend

Rocha · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.5L5.5L2010-112011-022012-06
WinLossTrend

Ellenberger · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Bryan BarberenaRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R2
Mike PerryRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · KO · R1
Jorge MasvidalRating 1.5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07

Rocha · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Mike PierceRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Jake EllenbergerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · Sub · R1
Kris McCrayRating 5
Submission
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11

News & Media

Jake Ellenberger · Carlos Eduardo Rocha
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