METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2011
Welterweight
VS
45%
Ellenberger
55%
Rocha
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CE
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Jake EllenbergerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Carlos Eduardo Rocha · UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rocha
→
Actual result
Ellenberger wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ellenberger at 45% vs Rocha at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Ellenberger's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EllenbergerRocha
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ellenberger
Rocha
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
41+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ellenberger
Rocha
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
19.5
45.7
Performance Avg
45.7
45
Quality of Victory
54
56
Momentum Score
52
Ellenberger
Rocha
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
8.0
3.4
Style: Volume
0.7
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
2
Body
0
2
Leg
9
RangeRange
7Distance14
2Clinch0
1Ground0
Ellenberger
Rocha
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ellenberger
Rocha
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
7
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/46 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Ellenberger
Rocha
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
52
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Ellenberger
Rocha
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ellenberger
Rocha
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
EllenbergerRocha
Strike Zones
Ellenberger
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedRocha
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ellenberger targets the head (60% of attacks) — Rocha absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Rocha targets the legs (64% of attacks) — Ellenberger absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ellenberger
RND
Rocha
0/0R00/0
Ellenberger · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bryan BarberenaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R2
Mike PerryKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · KO · R1
Jorge MasvidalKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Matt BrownKO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
Rocha · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Mike PierceDecision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Jake EllenbergerDecision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · Sub · R1
Kris McCraySubmission
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11