UFC 45: Revolution
Uncasville, USA
21 Nov 2003
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Correira
47%
Abbott
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Correira
This is a genuine toss-up — Correira at 53% vs Abbott at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Abbott has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Abbott throws more volume but Correira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Correira's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Abbott has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Correira
Abbott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
47+
Age
61
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Correira
Abbott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
15.6
45.5
Performance Avg
50.4
43
Quality of Victory
54
65
Momentum Score
26
Correira
Abbott
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
11
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
9Clinch7
1Ground0
Correira
Abbott
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Correira
Abbott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/36 fights
Chin rating based on
18/25 fights
Correira
Abbott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
26
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Correira
Abbott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
88%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Correira
Abbott
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
CorreiraAbbott
Strike Zones
Correira
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedAbbott
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Correira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Abbott absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Abbott targets the head (100% of attacks) — Correira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Correira
RND
Abbott
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Correira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Abbott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Correira · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Andrei ArlovskiRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 47: It's On! · 2004-04
W · R1
David AbbottRating 4UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
W · KO · R2
Sean AlvarezRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 42: Sudden Impact · 2003-04
L · KO · R2
Tim SylviaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 39: The Warriors Return · 2002-09
Abbott · Last 5
L · R1
Wesley CorreiraRating 4UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
L · Sub · R1
Kimo LeopoldoRating 1.5Submission
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06
L · Sub · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5Submission
UFC 41: Onslaught · 2003-02
L · KO · R1
Pedro RizzoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC - Ultimate Brazil · 1998-10
W · KO · R1
Hugo DuarteRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05