UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
Melbourne, Australia
14 Nov 2015
Welterweight
VS
92%
Moontasri
8%
Zafir
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:36
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Moontasri
Moontasri is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moontasri has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Zafir has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Zafir has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Moontasri
Zafir
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
38+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Moontasri
Zafir
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
1.6
46.2
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
Moontasri
Zafir
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
4.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
65%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
8
3
Body
6
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
8Distance5
1Clinch5
2Ground7
Moontasri
Zafir
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moontasri
Zafir
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Moontasri
Zafir
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Moontasri
Zafir
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moontasri
Zafir
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MoontasriZafir
Strike Zones
Moontasri
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedZafir
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moontasri targets the head (45% of attacks) — Zafir absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Zafir targets the head (47% of attacks) — Moontasri absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moontasri
RND
Zafir
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Moontasri · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Zafir · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.9WinLossTrend
Moontasri · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
W · KO · R1
Anton ZafirRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Kevin LeeRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody PfisterRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
Zafir · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Li JingliangRating 2.3KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
James MoontasriRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11