UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer
Omaha, USA
17 Sept 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
90%
Brilz
10%
Morris
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brilz
Brilz is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brilz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Striking split: Brilz throws more volume but Morris connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brilz's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morris has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brilz
Morris
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
50
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brilz
Morris
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.2
1.6
38.1
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
63
Momentum Score
0
Brilz
Morris
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.4
39%
Strike Accuracy
57%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
15Ground0
Brilz
Morris
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brilz
Morris
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Brilz
Morris
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Brilz
Morris
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brilz
Morris
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BrilzMorris
Strike Zones
Brilz
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMorris
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brilz targets the head (93% of attacks) — Morris absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Morris targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brilz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brilz
RND
Morris
0/0R00/0
Brilz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Morris · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.1WinLossTrend
Brilz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 5.5Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
Morris · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Jason BrilzRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04