Lerone Murphy vs Douglas Silva de Andrade — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

20 Jan 2021

Featherweight

63%

Murphy

37%

Andrade

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Lerone Murphy

"The Miracle"

17 – 1

5'9"73" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 66

Douglas Silva de Andrade

"D Silva"

29 – 7

Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"

CFR 38

★ Official Result

Lerone MurphywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Douglas Silva de Andrade · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Murphy

→

Actual result

Murphy wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Murphy holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Andrade has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Andrade has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

MurphyAndrade

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Murphy

Andrade

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"+

Height

5'7"

73"+

Reach

68"

35+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Murphy

Andrade

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

65.5

38.4

57.7

Performance Avg

42.2

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Murphy

Andrade

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.1

/ 10

3.9

/ 10

5.0

Style: Pressure

4.5

7.1

Style: Volume

5.6

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

11Distance12

2Clinch5

5Ground0

Murphy

Andrade

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.6

/ 10

2.5

/ 10

1.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.8

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

1.4

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Murphy

Andrade

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.5 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

11/18 fights

Chin rating based on

14/36 fights

Murphy

Andrade

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R5

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R5

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R2

Murphy

Andrade

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

43%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Murphy

Andrade

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.9

1.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.5

1.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.8

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.4

5.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.5

7.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.6

Murphy

Strike Zones

Andrade

Murphy

Attacking

18 landed

Absorbing

17 absorbed

Andrade

Attacking

17 landed

Absorbing

18 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Murphy targets the head (72% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 72% of strikes there

🎯Andrade targets the head (59% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Murphy

RND

Andrade

0/0R00/0

Murphy · Last 5

L · Dec · R5

Movsar Evloev

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03

W · KO · R1

Aaron Pico

KO/TKO

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

W · Dec · R5

Josh Emmett

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04

W · Dec · R3

Dan Ige

Decision

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

W · Dec · R5

Edson Barboza

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

Andrade · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Javier Reyes

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

L · Dec · R3

Miles Johns

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06

W · Dec · R3

Cody Stamann

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05

L · Dec · R3

Said Nurmagomedov

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

W · Sub · R2

Sergey Morozov

Submission

UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02

News & Media

Lerone Murphy · Douglas Silva de Andrade

← Back to fights