METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
20 Jan 2021
Featherweight
VS
63%
Murphy
37%
Andrade
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Lerone MurphywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Douglas Silva de Andrade · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Murphy
→
Actual result
Murphy wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Murphy holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Andrade has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Andrade throws more volume but Murphy connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Andrade has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MurphyAndrade
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Murphy
Andrade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
68"
34+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Murphy
Andrade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.5
38.4
57.7
Performance Avg
42.2
36
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
28
Murphy
Andrade
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.6
52%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
10
3
Body
6
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance12
2Clinch5
5Ground0
Murphy
Andrade
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Murphy
Andrade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
36
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
14/36 fights
Murphy
Andrade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
28
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Murphy
Andrade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
43%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Murphy
Andrade
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
MurphyAndrade
Strike Zones
Murphy
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedAndrade
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Murphy targets the head (72% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Andrade targets the head (59% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Murphy
RND
Andrade
0/0R00/0
Murphy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Aaron PicoRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 5.2Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Edson BarbozaRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
Andrade · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Javier ReyesRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Sergey MorozovRating 5.2Submission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02