UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
20 Jan 2021
Featherweight
VS
63%
Murphy
37%
Andrade
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Lerone
Lerone Murphy
"The Miracle"
17 – 1
5'9"73" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 66
Douglas
Douglas Silva de Andrade
"D Silva"
29 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 38

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Murphy

Murphy holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Andrade has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Andrade throws more volume but Murphy connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Andrade has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Murphy
Andrade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
68"
34+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Murphy
Andrade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.5
38.4
57.7
Performance Avg
42.2
36
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
28
Murphy
Andrade
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
52%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
10
3
Body
6
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance12
2Clinch5
5Ground0
Murphy
Andrade
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Murphy
Andrade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
36
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
14/36 fights
Murphy
Andrade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
28
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Murphy
Andrade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
43%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Murphy
Andrade
Striking5.1 / 3.9Volume7.1 / 5.6Grappling1.6 / 2.5Wrestling1.1 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 1.4Pressure5.0 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Murphy
Strike Zones
Andrade
Murphy
Attacking
13HEAD3BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD6BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Andrade
Attacking
10HEAD6BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD3BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Murphy targets the head (72% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Andrade targets the head (59% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Murphy
RND
Andrade
0/0R00/0

Murphy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.1W4.7W5.3W5.2W4.8W5.0W5.2W4.6W5.1W6.8L2020-072023-032024-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Andrade · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0106.0L4.7W5.5W4.0L5.3W4.3L4.5W7.0L5.0W5.2W6.9L4.5W5.5L3.9L2014-022018-022021-102024-062026-02
WinLossTrend

Murphy · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Aaron PicoRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Edson BarbozaRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

Andrade · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Javier ReyesRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Sergey MorozovRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02

News & Media

Lerone Murphy · Douglas Silva de Andrade
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