Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Welterweight

UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

11 Jul 2020

Welterweight

62%

Usman

38%

Masvidal

Win Probability

Decision

Round 5 · 5:00

Kamaru Usman

"The Nigerian Nightmare"

21 – 4

6'0"76" reachSwitch39 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 56

Jorge Masvidal

"Gamebred"

35 – 17

Well-Rounded4-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"

CFR 35

★ Official Result

Kamaru UsmanwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00

def. Jorge Masvidal · UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Usman

→

Actual result

Usman wins

Decision · R5

Pre-fight analysis

Usman holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Masvidal has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Masvidal has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

UsmanMasvidal

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Usman

Masvidal

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'0"+

Height

5'11"

76"+

Reach

74"

39+

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

Usman

Masvidal

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

56.3

35.2

59.6

Performance Avg

47.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Usman

Masvidal

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.1

/ 10

5.3

/ 10

4.6

Style: Pressure

5.1

7.1

Style: Volume

4.4

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

5 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

7Distance2

0Clinch2

5Ground0

Usman

Masvidal

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.1

/ 10

1.7

/ 10

1.5

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.2

0.6

Submission Style (/10)

0.8

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Usman

Masvidal

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R5.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

4 fights ago

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

20/25 fights

Chin rating based on

22/52 fights

Usman

Masvidal

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

4-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

L · KO · R5

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R5

W · R3

Usman

Masvidal

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

31%

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Usman

Masvidal

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.3

2.1

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.7

1.5

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.2

0.6

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.8

4.6

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.1

7.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.4

Usman

Strike Zones

Masvidal

Usman

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Masvidal

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Usman targets the head (58% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 58% of strikes there

🎯Masvidal targets the body (75% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Usman

RND

Masvidal

0/0R00/0

Usman · Last 5

L · Dec · R5

Dricus Du Plessis

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07

W · Dec · R5

Joaquin Buckley

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

L · Dec · R3

Khamzat Chimaev

Decision

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

L · Dec · R5

Leon Edwards

Decision

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

L · KO · R5

Leon Edwards

KO/TKO

UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

Masvidal · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Gilbert Burns

Decision

UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04

L · Dec · R5

Colby Covington

Decision

UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03

L · KO · R2

Kamaru Usman

KO/TKO

UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04

L · Dec · R5

Kamaru Usman

Decision

UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07

W · R3

Nate Diaz

UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

News & Media

Kamaru Usman · Jorge Masvidal

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