METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
11 Jul 2020
Welterweight
VS
62%
Usman
38%
Masvidal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kamaru UsmanwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Jorge Masvidal · UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Usman
→
Actual result
Usman wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Usman holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Masvidal has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Masvidal throws more volume but Usman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Masvidal has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
UsmanMasvidal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Usman
Masvidal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
74"
39+
Age
41
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Usman
Masvidal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
35.2
61.2
Performance Avg
47.0
46
Quality of Victory
42
55
Momentum Score
43
Usman
Masvidal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
5
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
0Clinch2
5Ground0
Usman
Masvidal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Usman
Masvidal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
22/52 fights
Usman
Masvidal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
43
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Usman
Masvidal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Usman
Masvidal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
UsmanMasvidal
Strike Zones
Usman
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMasvidal
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Usman targets the head (58% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Masvidal targets the body (75% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Usman
RND
Masvidal
0/0R00/0
Usman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Masvidal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Usman · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
Masvidal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazRating 4.3UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11