UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
Brooklyn, USA
11 Feb 2017
Middleweight
VS
39%
Silva
61%
Brunson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brunson
Brunson holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Silva has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Striking split: Brunson throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brunson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Brunson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
77"
51
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
Brunson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.5
40.2
71.6
Performance Avg
54.7
72
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
72
Silva
Brunson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.7
63%
Strike Accuracy
44%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
11 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
18
8
Body
3
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance17
5Clinch6
5Ground2
Silva
Brunson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Brunson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/45 fights
Chin rating based on
21/32 fights
Silva
Brunson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Silva
Brunson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
64%
11
KO / TKO Wins
7
3
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Brunson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
SilvaBrunson
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedBrunson
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (64% of attacks) — Brunson absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Brunson targets the head (72% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Brunson
0/0R00/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Brunson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Uriah HallRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · KO · R1
Jared CannonierRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9Decision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 4.8Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Daniel CormierRating 5.5Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
Brunson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Sub · R3
Darren TillRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R5
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · KO · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08