METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho
Las Vegas, USA
24 Aug 2024
Middleweight
VS
94%
Reese
6%
Medina
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Zach ReesewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jose Daniel Medina · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Reese
→
Actual result
Reese wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Reese is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reese has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Risk flags
Reese's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Medina has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ReeseMedina
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reese
Medina
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
32+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Reese
Medina
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
3.4
43.9
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
88
Momentum Score
0
Reese
Medina
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.0
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
7
3
Body
3
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance8
1Clinch1
3Ground1
Reese
Medina
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reese
Medina
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Reese
Medina
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Reese
Medina
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reese
Medina
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ReeseMedina
Strike Zones
Reese
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedMedina
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reese targets the head (60% of attacks) — Medina absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Medina targets the head (70% of attacks) — Reese absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reese
RND
Medina
0/0R00/0
Reese · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ryan GandraKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michel PereiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R2
Jackson McVeySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
Upcoming
Sedriques DumasNoche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Dusko TodorovicDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
Medina · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Ryan GandraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Sub · R1
Dusko TodorovicSubmission
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · KO · R1
Ateba GautierKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08