METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
New Orleans, USA
19 Jul 2025
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Phillips
55%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Vinicius OliveirawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kyler Phillips · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Phillips at 45% vs Oliveira at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PhillipsOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Phillips
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
72"+
Reach
70"
31
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Phillips
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
58.8
44.0
Performance Avg
54.9
33
Quality of Victory
36
58
Momentum Score
76
Phillips
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
5.3
6.5
Style: Volume
6.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
13
3
Body
12
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
16Distance30
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Phillips
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Phillips
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
6/27 fights
Phillips
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Phillips
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Phillips
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
PhillipsOliveira
Strike Zones
Phillips
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Phillips targets the head (81% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (39% of attacks) — Phillips absorbs 39% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Phillips
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Phillips · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Vinicius OliveiraDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Rob FontDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozDecision
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W · Dec · R3
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Oliveira · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Andre FiliKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Sub · R2
Mario BautistaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonDecision
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