METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Boston, USA
18 Oct 2019
Featherweight
VS
60%
Rodriguez
40%
Stephens
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Yair RodriguezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jeremy Stephens · UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
→
Actual result
Rodriguez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Rodriguez holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Stephens has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Rodriguez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stephens has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RodriguezStephens
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rodriguez
Stephens
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
71"
33+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Stephens
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.4
45.0
60.2
Performance Avg
41.1
51
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
76
Rodriguez
Stephens
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
5.5
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
4.5
5.8
Style: Volume
4.6
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
23
3
Body
4
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance9
0Clinch0
1Ground19
Rodriguez
Stephens
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rodriguez
Stephens
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
36/52 fights
Rodriguez
Stephens
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
76
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Stephens
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
47%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Stephens
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
RodriguezStephens
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedStephens
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (63% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Stephens targets the head (82% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Stephens
0/0R00/0
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Sub · R2
Josh EmmettSubmission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Brian OrtegaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
Stephens · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
King GreenSubmission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Mason JonesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz GamrotSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Calvin KattarKO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Yair RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10