UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Aug 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
46%
Viana
54%
Aldrich
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Aldrich
This is a genuine toss-up — Viana at 46% vs Aldrich at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Viana has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Aldrich has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Viana's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Aldrich has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Viana
Aldrich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"
Reach
67"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Viana
Aldrich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.1
47.4
46.6
Performance Avg
42.5
56
Quality of Victory
28
0
Momentum Score
80
Viana
Aldrich
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.7
39%
Strike Accuracy
48%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
13
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance12
0Clinch1
3Ground1
Viana
Aldrich
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
6.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
4.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Viana
Aldrich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
12 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
17/22 fights
Viana
Aldrich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
80
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Viana
Aldrich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
9%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Viana
Aldrich
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
6.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
4.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
VianaAldrich
Strike Zones
Viana
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedAldrich
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Viana targets the head (83% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Aldrich targets the head (93% of attacks) — Viana absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Viana
RND
Aldrich
0/0R00/0
Viana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Aldrich · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Viana · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Alice ArdeleanRating 3.5Submission
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