UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Welterweight
VS
50%
Muhammad
50%
Brady
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:47
Belal
Belal Muhammad
"Remember the Name"
24 – 5
5'11"72" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 57
Sean
Sean Brady
19 – 2
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Muhammad

This is a genuine toss-up — Muhammad at 50% vs Brady at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Muhammad throws more volume but Brady connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Brady has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Muhammad
Brady
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
72"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Muhammad
Brady
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.8
57.4
48.5
Performance Avg
53.7
31
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
84
Muhammad
Brady
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
54%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
46
Head
25
5
Body
2
3
Leg
6
RangeRange
53Distance32
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Muhammad
Brady
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Muhammad
Brady
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
56
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
19 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/29 fights
Chin rating based on
11/21 fights
Muhammad
Brady
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
84
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
Muhammad
Brady
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
44%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
4
12
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Muhammad
Brady
Striking2.8 / 1.6Volume7.9 / 6.1Grappling2.5 / 4.9Wrestling1.7 / 3.4Submission0.7 / 4.4Pressure3.6 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Muhammad
Strike Zones
Brady
Muhammad
Attacking
46HEAD5BODY3LEGS54 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD2BODY6LEGS33 absorbed
Brady
Attacking
25HEAD2BODY6LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
46HEAD5BODY3LEGS54 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Muhammad targets the head (85% of attacks) — Brady absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Brady targets the head (76% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Muhammad
RND
Brady
0/0R00/0

Muhammad · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5W3.0L5.4W4.5W4.6W4.5W6.5L4.5W5.7W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W6.0W6.4W4.7W5.6W7.0L7.0L2016-072017-112020-062022-102025-11
WinLossTrend

Brady · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.7W5.0W5.2W6.5W5.3W3.8L5.8W4.7W6.5W3.6L5.7W2019-102021-032023-122025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Muhammad · Last 5

Upcoming
Gabriel Bonfim
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Brady · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R4
Leon EdwardsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Sub · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

News & Media

Belal Muhammad · Sean Brady
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