METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Welterweight
VS
49%
Muhammad
51%
Brady
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:47
★ Official Result
Belal MuhammadwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:47
def. Sean Brady · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brady
→
Actual result
Muhammad wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Muhammad at 49% vs Brady at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Muhammad's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brady has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MuhammadBrady
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Muhammad
Brady
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
72"
38
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Muhammad
Brady
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.8
57.4
47.1
Performance Avg
53.7
31
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
84
Muhammad
Brady
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
5.6
7.8
Style: Volume
6.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
46
Head
25
5
Body
2
3
Leg
6
RangeRange
53Distance32
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Muhammad
Brady
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Muhammad
Brady
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
56
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
19 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/29 fights
Chin rating based on
12/21 fights
Muhammad
Brady
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
84
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
Muhammad
Brady
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
44%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
4
12
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Muhammad
Brady
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
7.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
MuhammadBrady
Strike Zones
Muhammad
Attacking
54 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedBrady
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
54 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Muhammad targets the head (85% of attacks) — Brady absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Brady targets the head (76% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Muhammad
RND
Brady
0/0R00/0
Muhammad · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Gabriel BonfimDecision
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
Brady · Last 5
Upcoming
Gabriel BonfimUFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady · 2026-11
W · Dec · R3
Joaquin BuckleyDecision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesKO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R4
Leon EdwardsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09

