UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort
Dallas, USA
19 Sept 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Marshall
48%
Brilz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
EM
Eliot Marshall
"Fire"
10 – 4
6'2"77" reachOrthodox45 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
JB
Jason Brilz
"Hitman"
22 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'11"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Marshall

This is a genuine toss-up — Marshall at 52% vs Brilz at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Brilz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Brilz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Marshall
Brilz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
77"+
Reach
71"
45+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marshall
Brilz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
15.2
40.8
Performance Avg
38.1
35
Quality of Victory
35
65
Momentum Score
63
Marshall
Brilz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.9
27%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
7
2
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance8
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Marshall
Brilz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marshall
Brilz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
52
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
7/28 fights
Marshall
Brilz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Marshall
Brilz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marshall
Brilz
Striking1.0 / 4.2Volume6.3 / 6.2Grappling4.3 / 1.6Wrestling3.0 / 1.1Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Marshall
Strike Zones
Brilz
Marshall
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Brilz
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marshall targets the head (80% of attacks) — Brilz absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Brilz targets the head (64% of attacks) — Marshall absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marshall
RND
Brilz
0/0R00/0

Marshall · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L2008-122009-042009-092010-032011-032011-10
WinLossTrend

Brilz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L1.5L1.5L2008-092009-092010-052011-11
WinLossTrend

Marshall · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
L · KO · R1
Luiz CaneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Jason BrilzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · Dec · R3
Vinny MagalhaesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04

Brilz · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09

News & Media

Eliot Marshall · Jason Brilz
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