UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Rotterdam, Netherlands
8 May 2016
Flyweight
VS
81%
Horiguchi
19%
Seery
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Kyoji
Kyoji Horiguchi
"Karate Kid"
36 – 5
5'4"63" reachOrthodox35 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 64
NS
Neil Seery
"2Tap"
16 – 13
Well-Rounded2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'4"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Horiguchi

Horiguchi is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Horiguchi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Horiguchi
Seery
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
63"
Reach
+64"
35+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Horiguchi
Seery
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
15.5
56.7
Performance Avg
37.0
34
Quality of Victory
33
100
Momentum Score
58
Horiguchi
Seery
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
40%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
17
8
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance15
9Clinch3
0Ground0
Horiguchi
Seery
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Horiguchi
Seery
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/41 fights
Chin rating based on
7/29 fights
Horiguchi
Seery
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
58
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Horiguchi
Seery
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Horiguchi
Seery
Striking4.0 / 0.9Volume7.1 / 6.2Grappling2.5 / 4.3Wrestling1.7 / 3.0Submission1.1 / 3.3Pressure5.0 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Horiguchi
Strike Zones
Seery
Horiguchi
Attacking
11HEAD8BODY4LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD0BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Seery
Attacking
17HEAD0BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD8BODY4LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Horiguchi targets the head (48% of attacks) — Seery absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Seery targets the head (94% of attacks) — Horiguchi absorbs 94% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Horiguchi
RND
Seery
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Horiguchi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.0L4.5W4.5W4.5W6.6W5.8W2013-102015-012016-052026-02
WinLossTrend

Seery · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W7.0L5.3L2014-032015-012015-102017-07
WinLossTrend

Horiguchi · Last 5

Upcoming
Manel Kape
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Amir AlbaziRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Sub · R3
Tagir UlanbekovRating 6.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ali BagautinovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05

Seery · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Sub · R2
Jon Delos ReyesRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Louis SmolkaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Chris BealRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Kyoji Horiguchi · Neil Seery
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