Kyoji Horiguchi vs Neil Seery — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski

Rotterdam, Netherlands

8 May 2016

Flyweight

80%

Horiguchi

20%

Seery

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Kyoji Horiguchi

"Karate Kid"

36 – 5

5'4"63" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 61

Neil Seery

"2Tap"

16 – 13

Well-Rounded2-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'4"

CFR 16

★ Official Result

Kyoji HoriguchiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Neil Seery · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Horiguchi

→

Actual result

Horiguchi wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Horiguchi is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Horiguchi's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

HoriguchiSeery

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Horiguchi

Seery

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'4"

Height

5'4"

63"

Reach

+64"

35+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Horiguchi

Seery

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

60.6

15.5

53.7

Performance Avg

37.0

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Horiguchi

Seery

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.9

/ 10

0.9

/ 10

4.8

Style: Pressure

3.6

7.0

Style: Volume

6.2

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

14Distance15

9Clinch3

0Ground0

Horiguchi

Seery

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.5

/ 10

4.3

/ 10

1.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.0

1.1

Submission Style (/10)

3.3

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Horiguchi

Seery

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R3.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

11/41 fights

Chin rating based on

7/29 fights

Horiguchi

Seery

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R3

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R3

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Sub · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Horiguchi

Seery

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Horiguchi

Seery

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.9

2.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.3

1.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.0

1.1

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.3

4.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.6

7.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.2

Horiguchi

Strike Zones

Seery

Horiguchi

Attacking

23 landed

Absorbing

18 absorbed

Seery

Attacking

18 landed

Absorbing

23 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Horiguchi targets the head (48% of attacks) — Seery absorbs 48% of strikes there

🎯Seery targets the head (94% of attacks) — Horiguchi absorbs 94% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Horiguchi

RND

Seery

0/0R00/0

0/0R20/0

Horiguchi · Last 5

L · KO · R3

Manel Kape

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

W · Dec · R3

Amir Albazi

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02

W · Sub · R3

Tagir Ulanbekov

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

W · Dec · R3

Ali Bagautinov

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11

W · Dec · R3

Neil Seery

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05

Seery · Last 5

L · Sub · R3

Alexandre Pantoja

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07

L · Dec · R3

Kyoji Horiguchi

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05

W · Sub · R2

Jon Delos Reyes

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10

L · Dec · R3

Louis Smolka

Decision

UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07

W · Dec · R3

Chris Beal

Decision

UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Kyoji Horiguchi · Neil Seery

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