UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Las Vegas, USA
7 Dec 2024
Flyweight
VS
36%
Durden
64%
Van
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Van
Van holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Durden has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Van has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Van has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Durden's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Durden
Van
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
65"
35
Age
+24
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Durden
Van
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.8
67.8
38.8
Performance Avg
62.6
34
Quality of Victory
44
54
Momentum Score
100
Durden
Van
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
3.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
59%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
50
1
Body
6
3
Leg
7
RangeRange
29Distance58
0Clinch5
0Ground0
Durden
Van
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Durden
Van
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Durden
Van
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
100
Current form
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Durden
Van
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Durden
Van
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
DurdenVan
Strike Zones
Durden
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
63 absorbedVan
Attacking
63 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Durden targets the head (86% of attacks) — Van absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Van targets the head (79% of attacks) — Durden absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Durden
RND
Van
0/0R00/0
Durden · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Van · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Durden · Last 5
Upcoming
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