UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Hamburg, Germany
3 Sept 2016
Middleweight
VS
28%
Askham
72%
Hermansson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SA
Scott Askham
14 – 4
6'3"75" reachSouthpaw38 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 21
Jack
Jack Hermansson
"The Joker"
24 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hermansson

Hermansson is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Askham has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Hermansson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hermansson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Askham
Hermansson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+77"
38
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Askham
Hermansson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
53.8
49.3
Performance Avg
48.1
60
Quality of Victory
42
59
Momentum Score
97
Askham
Hermansson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
50%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
16
5
Body
11
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
1Distance14
8Clinch17
0Ground1
Askham
Hermansson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Askham
Hermansson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
19/34 fights
Askham
Hermansson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
97
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Askham
Hermansson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
55%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Askham
Hermansson
Striking10.0 / 3.9Volume0.7 / 4.8Grappling0.0 / 3.3Wrestling0.0 / 2.3Submission0.0 / 2.7Pressure8.0 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Askham
Strike Zones
Hermansson
Askham
Attacking
3HEAD5BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD11BODY5LEGS32 absorbed
Hermansson
Attacking
16HEAD11BODY5LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD5BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Askham targets the body (56% of attacks) — Hermansson absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Hermansson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Askham absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Askham
RND
Hermansson
0/0R00/0

Askham · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W6.4L5.5L2014-102015-062015-102016-022016-092017-03
WinLossTrend

Hermansson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5W6.1W5.0W4.5W3.1L5.3W6.3L5.9W6.6L5.2W4.2L6.5W3.1L3.1L2016-092018-052020-072022-122025-11
WinLossTrend

Askham · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad ScottRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
W · KO · R1
Chris DempseyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio Dos SantosRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06

Hermansson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Roman DolidzeRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07

News & Media

Scott Askham · Jack Hermansson
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