METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Hamburg, Germany
3 Sept 2016
Middleweight
VS
28%
Askham
72%
Hermansson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jack HermanssonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Scott Askham · UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hermansson
→
Actual result
Hermansson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hermansson is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Askham has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Hermansson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AskhamHermansson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Askham
Hermansson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+77"
38
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Askham
Hermansson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
53.8
49.3
Performance Avg
48.1
60
Quality of Victory
42
59
Momentum Score
97
Askham
Hermansson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
5.6
0.7
Style: Volume
4.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
16
5
Body
11
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
1Distance14
8Clinch17
0Ground1
Askham
Hermansson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Askham
Hermansson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
19/34 fights
Askham
Hermansson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
97
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Askham
Hermansson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
55%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Askham
Hermansson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
AskhamHermansson
Strike Zones
Askham
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedHermansson
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Askham targets the body (56% of attacks) — Hermansson absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Hermansson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Askham absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Askham
RND
Hermansson
0/0R00/0
Askham · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brad ScottDecision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Jack HermanssonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
W · KO · R1
Chris DempseyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio Dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
Hermansson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Roman DolidzeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07