METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2016
Lightweight
VS
67%
Duffy
33%
Clarke
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:25
★ Official Result
Joe DuffywinsSubmissionR1 · 0:25
def. Mitch Clarke · UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Duffy
→
Actual result
Duffy wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Duffy holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Clarke has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Duffy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Duffy's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Clarke has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DuffyClarke
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Duffy
Clarke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
73"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Duffy
Clarke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
10.9
49.0
Performance Avg
33.8
48
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
10
Duffy
Clarke
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
4.4
3.0
Style: Volume
4.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Duffy
Clarke
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Duffy
Clarke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
40
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Duffy
Clarke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
10
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Duffy
Clarke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Duffy
Clarke
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
DuffyClarke
Strike Zones
Duffy
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedClarke
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Duffy targets the head (100% of attacks) — Clarke absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Clarke targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Duffy absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Duffy
RND
Clarke
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Duffy · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Joel AlvarezSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseDecision
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L · KO · R2
James VickKO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R3
Reza MadadiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Mitch ClarkeSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
Clarke · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alex WhiteKO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R1
Joe DuffySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
W · Sub · R2
Al IaquintaSubmission
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
John MaguireDecision
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