METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
Nashville, USA
20 Jan 2012
Welterweight
VS
36%
Ludwig
64%
Neer
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:04
★ Official Result
Josh NeerwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:04
def. Duane Ludwig · UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Neer
→
Actual result
Neer wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Neer holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Ludwig has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Ludwig's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Neer has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LudwigNeer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ludwig
Neer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+72"
48
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ludwig
Neer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.1
18.1
38.0
Performance Avg
39.5
34
Quality of Victory
39
10
Momentum Score
100
Ludwig
Neer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
4.7
6.9
Style: Volume
3.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
3
12
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance5
10Clinch0
0Ground0
Ludwig
Neer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ludwig
Neer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/35 fights
Chin rating based on
15/52 fights
Ludwig
Neer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
Ludwig
Neer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ludwig
Neer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
LudwigNeer
Strike Zones
Ludwig
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedNeer
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ludwig targets the body (50% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Neer targets the head (60% of attacks) — Ludwig absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ludwig
RND
Neer
0/0R00/0
Ludwig · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Che MillsKO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · KO · R1
Dan HardyKO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R1
Josh NeerSubmission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahDecision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Nick OsipczakDecision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
Neer · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Justin EdwardsSubmission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Duane LudwigSubmission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · R2
Keith WisniewskiUFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10