UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Miami, USA
12 Apr 2025
Featherweight
VS
67%
Rodriguez
33%
Pitbull
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodriguez
Rodriguez holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Pitbull has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rodriguez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodriguez
Pitbull
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
67"
33+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Pitbull
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.4
32.4
60.2
Performance Avg
28.3
51
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
33
Rodriguez
Pitbull
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
3
8
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance5
0Clinch0
25Ground0
Rodriguez
Pitbull
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Pitbull
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
3/46 fights
Rodriguez
Pitbull
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
33
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Pitbull
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Pitbull
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
RodriguezPitbull
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedPitbull
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (71% of attacks) — Pitbull absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Pitbull targets the head (60% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Pitbull
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Pitbull · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 4.5Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 4.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Sub · R2
Josh EmmettRating 5.2Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Brian OrtegaRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
Pitbull · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Aaron PicoRating 5.6Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 5.2Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 7.1Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04