UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
Norfolk, USA
11 Nov 2017
Welterweight
VS
40%
McGee
60%
Strickland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Strickland
Strickland holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but McGee has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Strickland has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McGee's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Strickland has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McGee
Strickland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
75"
Reach
+76"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McGee
Strickland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
57.7
40.1
Performance Avg
50.9
36
Quality of Victory
37
50
Momentum Score
100
McGee
Strickland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
22
2
Body
0
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance9
3Clinch1
0Ground12
McGee
Strickland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McGee
Strickland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
46
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
McGee
Strickland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
McGee
Strickland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGee
Strickland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
McGeeStrickland
Strike Zones
McGee
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedStrickland
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGee targets the head (56% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Strickland targets the head (100% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGee
RND
Strickland
0/0R00/0
McGee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Strickland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
McGee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Jeremiah WellsRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
Strickland · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 6.4Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01